The Dogecoin (DOGE) worth is on the cusp of testing a key technical stage that, relying on its response, might have a significant implication on its medium-term outlook.
Final at $0.2470, DOGE is approaching a retest of its 200DMA at $0.2360.
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The Dogecoin worth has been in a downtrend, in tandem with the broader meme coin market, since Trump’s meme coin launch in mid-January, with its near-term bearish bias confirmed by latest rejections of its 21DMA.
DOGE can also be on the cusp of one other retest of its 2024 highs within the $0.2250 space.
How the Dogecoin worth responds when it retests this key space of resistance round $0.22-24 can be key to its longer-term outlook.
A convincing and sustained break beneath right here would throw Dogecoin’s “bull market” into severe doubt.
Speculators might simply begin throwing the towel in, and costs might rapidly dump all the way in which decrease in the direction of the mid-$0.10.
Alternatively, if the worth enjoys a robust rebound, as was seen initially of February, this may sign the robustness of the rally over the previous 6 months.
The place is the Dogecoin Value Headed in 2025?
The liquidity backdrop within the USA proper now isn’t the perfect, with US authorities bond yields near multi-decade highs and the Fed’s rate-cutting cycle probably trying to have already completed.
Alt-coins and meme cash are inclined to carry out significantly better in an setting of easing monetary situations, which 2025 doesn’t look more likely to deliver.
So an alt/meme season like seen again in 2021 is unlikely to materialize this yr.
Nevertheless, 2025 guarantees to be a historic yr with regards to crypto adoption – the pro-crypto Trump administration might create a strategic Bitcoin reserve, states are additionally transferring to arrange their very own strategic reserves, and main altcoins could quickly safe spot ETFs.
This contains Dogecoin, with the SEC not too long ago acknowledging Grayscale’s software.
BREAKING: SEC acknowledges Grayscale's spot #Dogecoin ETF!
Drop a LIKEin case you consider Elon Musk and Donald Trump will pump $DOGE to a $1 in 2025
pic.twitter.com/WwDjVy9XBv
— Doge Lord (@DogeLord) February 16, 2025
2025 is thus shaping as much as be a large yr for Bitcoin and main alts.
Nevertheless, the outlook for the meme coin market is murkier, amid considerations that large dilution (i.e. new meme cash continually being created) is stopping retail from piling again into names like Dogecoin as they did previously.
January simply set a document for essentially the most quantity of tokens created in a single month with +600k new launches.
When in comparison with the common of 50k tokens created per thirty days in 2022, it's clear why we aren't getting conventional alt seasons anymore… pic.twitter.com/RoimmxShwP— Miles Deutscher (@milesdeutscher) February 18, 2025
Certainly, Trump’s meme coin launch dealt a extreme blow to the broader meme coin market, together with to Dogecoin, because it sucked up liquidity.
US President Trump is arguably essentially the most well-known particular person with the most important model identify on this planet, so no future meme coin launches are more likely to match the TRUMP token.
That stated, 2025 might see a wave of celebrities, manufacturers and influencers launching tokens and sucking up liquidity from retail that, in previous cycles, could have gone to cash like Dogecoin.
This presents a transparent threat to the Dogecoin worth outlook in 2025, though Dogecoin’s first-mover benefit, backing from Elon Musk and large group signifies that it’s assured to retain a significant management place within the meme coin market.
If/when meme cash do rebound, count on DOGE to be proper on the forefront, particularly with Musk’s Division of Authorities Effectivity making headlines each week.
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