Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has declared crypto ETF approvals at the moment are “100%” sure, stating that Solana funds “might come any day” following the fourth modification submission.
The evaluation comes after the Securities and Trade Fee permitted generic itemizing requirements on September 18, eliminating the necessity for particular person 19b-4 filings and streamlining the trail for crypto exchange-traded merchandise past Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Balchunas acknowledged that generic itemizing requirements make the 19b-4 filings and their regulatory clock “meaningless,” leaving solely S-1 registrations awaiting formal approval from Company Finance.
Seven main asset managers, together with Franklin Templeton, Constancy, CoinShares, Bitwise, Grayscale, VanEck, and Canary Capital, filed up to date S-1 paperwork for spot Solana ETFs on September 27.
Truthfully the chances are actually 100% now. Generic itemizing requirements make the 19b-4s and their “clock” meaningless. That simply leaves the S-1s ready for formal inexperienced gentle from Corp Finance. And so they simply submitted modification #4 for Solana. The newborn might come any day. Be prepared. https://t.co/5JtfTm82Wi
— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) September 29, 2025
SEC’s Generic Requirements Slash Approval Timeline From 9 Months to 75 Days
The SEC instructed issuers of proposed ETFs for Litecoin, XRP, Solana, Cardano, and Dogecoin to withdraw pending Type 19b-4 filings on September 29.
The transfer follows the company’s approval of generic itemizing requirements, which permit exchanges, together with Nasdaq, Cboe BZX, and NYSE Arca, to checklist crypto ETFs below standardized guidelines with out case-by-case trade rule adjustments.
Issuers now advance immediately with S-1 registration statements, the ultimate step earlier than launch.
Beforehand, every product required two separate approvals, stretching 9 months or extra. With generic requirements in place, timelines can shrink to as few as 75 days.
The SEC utilized the brand new framework instantly, with the approval of Grayscale’s Digital Massive Cap Fund on September 18.
The multi-crypto product gives publicity to Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, Solana, and Cardano, presently managing over $915 million in property, making it the primary fund listed below the streamlined system.
Greater than 92 crypto ETF purposes now await SEC overview, with a number of deadlines falling in October and November.
Franklin Templeton’s Solana and XRP ETF purposes are set for a choice on November 14, following the SEC’s use of its most 60-day extension authority.
Bloomberg analysts had earlier projected an over 95% approval chance for Solana and XRP ETFs by year-end. Nevertheless, Solana is now 100%.
Prediction markets replicate comparable optimism, with Polymarket odds on Solana ETF approval presently at 99%.
Solana and XRP Lead Inflows Whereas Bitcoin Posts $719M Weekly Outflows
Digital asset funding merchandise recorded $812 million in outflows final week as stronger-than-anticipated financial knowledge tempered expectations for 2 rate of interest cuts this yr.
The U.S. accounted for $1 billion in outflows, whereas Switzerland led optimistic flows with $126.8 million, adopted by Canada with $58.6 million and Germany with $35.5 million.
Bitcoin bore the brunt with $719 million in outflows. Ethereum confronted $409 million in outflows, bringing its year-to-date inflows of roughly $12 billion to a close to standstill, with September contributing solely $86.2 million.
Solana stood out with $291 million in inflows amid rising anticipation of upcoming ETF launches. XRP additionally posted a powerful efficiency with $93.1 million in inflows.
CoinShares attributed the optimistic momentum to expectations of expanded investor entry and institutional participation in different digital property past Bitcoin and Ethereum.
On September 29, spot Ethereum ETFs snapped 5 consecutive days of outflows, recording $547 million in internet inflows.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $522 million in internet inflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT being the one product posting a internet outflow.
Bitcoin ETFs now maintain over 1.47 million BTC, representing round 7% of complete provide, with BlackRock’s IBIT main at 746,810 BTC, adopted by Constancy’s FBTC at practically 199,500 BTC.
The REX-Osprey Solana Staking ETF launched within the U.S. on the Cboe BZX Trade with $33 million in buying and selling quantity and $12 million in first-day inflows.
Bitwise’s European-listed Solana staking ETP recorded $60 million in inflows over a five-day buying and selling interval.
ETF analyst Nate Geraci, specifically, famous that the inclusion of staking language in US filings might sign progress for long-delayed spot Ethereum ETFs with staking options.
Yr-to-date inflows stay substantial at $39.6 billion, approaching 2023’s document of $48.6 billion.
Solana leads pending purposes with eight filings below overview, adopted by XRP with seven proposals.
Grayscale is working to transform 5 present trusts into ETF buildings masking Litecoin, Solana, Dogecoin, XRP, and Avalanche.
The SEC is coordinating with the Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee on broader digital asset regulation by way of Chair Paul Atkins’ “Undertaking Crypto” initiative launched in July.
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