Bitcoin has confirmed its power after breaking by means of the $94,200 resistance degree and nearing the 50-week EMA at $97,200 for the primary time in 3 months.
This bullish motion has shifted the Bitcoin value prediction towards a $100,000 breakout earlier than the tip of January.
Bitcoin VDD Indicator Exhibits Lengthy-Time period Holders Not Promoting
Based on on-chain insights shared by Carmelo Alemán, a verified blockchain analyst at CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s Worth Days Destroyed (VDD) indicator, which supplies a direct studying of long-term holder habits, means that the latest rally nonetheless has room to run.
The VDD metric calculates the variety of days bitcoins remained inactive earlier than being moved, weighted by the quantity transferred.
Bitcoin Breaks Resistance as Holders Refuse to Promote
“Traditionally, when Bitcoin’s value rises whereas VDD stays low, the market tends to be in a wholesome growth part, the place demand absorbs the out there provide with out producing structural promoting stress.” – By @oro_crypto pic.twitter.com/soss3JTgU0— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 15, 2026
At the moment, VDD stands at roughly 0.53 in January 2026, a traditionally low degree, suggesting that bitcoins being transferred are comparatively younger, that means older cash stay untouched.
Virtually, this implies long-term holders aren’t promoting as the worth rises.
“This habits strengthens the standard of the bullish motion, as the worth enhance shouldn’t be accompanied by distribution from the market’s most skilled capital,” Alemán defined.
Traditionally, when Bitcoin’s value rises whereas VDD stays low, the market tends to be in a wholesome growth part, the place demand absorbs out there provide with out producing structural promoting stress.
“On this context, the breakout above resistance and continued upward momentum are firmly supported by long-term holder inactivity, reinforcing the concept the present transfer is pushed by actual market power reasonably than fragile rebound fueled by short-term hypothesis,” the analyst added.
A sustained VDD enhance would sign long-term holder distribution that would see Bitcoin problem the bears’ final protection at $100,000.
Bitcoin Value Prediction: Weekly Chart Exhibits Double-Backside Formation
Cryptonews analysts defined not too long ago that Bitcoin may see a rally, bringing the worth nicely above the $100,000 psychological degree, and this aligns with the technical construction on the weekly timeframe.
The 1W Bitcoin chart reveals value stabilizing after a pointy corrective part, with construction nonetheless leaning bullish regardless of latest volatility.
BTC trades round $95,000, having rebounded from the $86,300 area, which aligns carefully with the 100-week shifting common and marks a essential higher-low zone.
The clear double-bottom formation round this space suggests sturdy demand absorption and reinforces the notion that long-term patrons are stepping again in reasonably than capitulating.
From a development perspective, Bitcoin stays above the 200-week shifting common close to $68,000, preserving macro bull market construction. Nonetheless, value at the moment trades beneath the 20-week and 50-week shifting averages, clustered across the $97,600-$98,200 zone.
This space now acts as speedy dynamic resistance, and a decisive weekly shut above it could present early affirmation that bullish momentum is returning.
The horizontal resistance bands at $103,650 and $111,600 signify an important upside ranges.
These zones beforehand acted as main distribution and rejection areas, making them logical breakout targets if momentum accelerates.
A break above $98,000 would probably shift sentiment decisively bullish, opening pathways for motion towards $103,000 initially, and probably $111,000 if quantity and momentum broaden.
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